By Gene Ogorodov
On May 10, 2014 Dr.
Alexander Yakovenko, the Russian Ambassador to the United Kingdom,
emphatically denied the possibility of Russian intervention in
Ukraine, in an Op-Ed for RT. I will concede that conventional hot war
between the US and Russia is not necessarily an "absolute
certainty" as I said earlier. Avoiding war will require a
spectacular amount of diplomacy (and more than a few very successful
intrigues). The United States wants war with Russia, and it will get
a war, even if Ukrainian troops have to retake Crimea and invade the
undisputed territory of the Russian Federation. I don't believe that
Russia has the tools at its disposal to stressfully avoid war.
I don't wish to
demean the Russian Foreign Service. It has worked miracles in recent
years. There is only so much that country as rich and as strong as
the Russian Federation can do. The People's Republic of China has the
wealth and power to avoid hot war with the US. In the hight of the
Cold War the Soviet Union had the diplomatic capital to avoid
conventional war with America. The Russian Federation is one of the
strongest Great Powers in the world, but it is not a Super Power. In
a global game politics its options are limited. Those limitations
will be and probably are being exploited by the United States.
However, the real
conflict between the US and Russia is not going to be waged with
tanks and artillery. The US has initiated a financial war against the
Russian Federation. Although it currently appears anemic with limited
sanctions that most major trading partners with Russia will ignore,
the Russian debt stands on the edge of being down graded to junk
status by the US rating agencies. If that ever begins to mean
anything the Russian economy will shrivel up under a shortage of
fluid capital. If not the US loses its position as the global banker,
which is the pillar of American Global Hegemony. In short Russia
descends back into the chaos it experienced in the 1990's or the
United States retreats into a new era of isolationism and the
economic and political upheaval that will entail. One should not be
fooled. This is a life and death struggle. It may take decades to
play out, just like the last Cold War, but the world will be
permanently altered by its outcome no matter what happens in the
proverbial tranches.
